Blog Archives

My Oscar Nominations Predictions


The Academy Award nominations will be announced at 5:30AM PST tomorrow, February 2nd. I’ve got predictions for 10 of the 24 categories. I’m also going to supply some alternates. I love being able to predict what the nominations will be, but at the same time, it would be nice for some surprises to sneak in there too!

Best Picture:

  1. (500) Days of Summer
  2. An Education
  3. Avatar
  4. District 9
  5. The Hangover
  6. The Hurt Locker
  7. Inglourious Basterds
  8. Precious
  9. Star Trek
  10. Up In The Air

(Alternates: Up, Invictus, A Serious Man)

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15 Breakthrough Performers of 2009


2009 was a good year for cinema. So good I had to have a Top 15 instead of a Top Ten (and now, after I’ve seen a lot of the End of the Year fare, I feel like I’d need a Top Twenty). There were some newcomers who blew us away and some actors/actresses who have been kicking around Hollywood for years waiting for That Movie that makes them a household name, and for them 2009 was that year. I’m going to do this list in alphabetical order by last name.

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Bigelow Wins DGA


KATHRYN WON YOU GUYS. SHE WON. I am so happy about this. SO HAPPY.

So what does this mean for Oscar? Well, the winner of the DGA has gone on to win Best Director at the Academy Awards  58 of the last 60 years. This is one of the few precursors that tend to accurately predict how Oscar will go. 

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Avatar – Visually Stunning, But Ultimately Boring and Predictable


I really did go into this film with an open mind. After about 30 minutes I was pretty sure I knew how I’d feel about the rest of the film. Why? Because I could see exactly how it was going to play out and all I really wanted was for it to end.

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BAFTA Nominations Are In


There are a few odd things in this list, but keep in mind these are for Britain, so some films that are eligible for Oscar haven’t been released there yet. 

The one thing that is certain is Jeremy Renner is closer now to being a lock for a Best Actor nomination by the Academy.

Full list of nominees and my analysis after the cut.

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The Hurt Locker – Can A Good Old-Fashioned War Movie Win Best Picture?


I finally got to see The Hurt Locker today. I absolutely loved it. I am a big fan of War films and I’d put this one up there with my favorites, namely The Thin Red Line and The Longest Day

Although I’ve yet to see Avatar, I do not want it to win Best Picture. I know I should reserve judgement until I’ve seen it. But I do not see how it can be as good as either The Hurt Locker or Up In The Air. To quote Quentin Tarantino “This CGI bullshit is the death knell of cinema. If I’d wanted all that computer game bullshit, I’d have stuck my dick in a Nintendo.”

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What the Critics Choice Awards Mean to Oscar


In many ways the Critics Choice Awards are just as good, if not a better gauge of how the Oscars are going to go than the Golden Globes. Granted, there are no Academy members who vote for either of those award shows (unlike the guilds, where there are some crossover members with the Academy.) 

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Detroit Film Critics Mix Things “Up,” Push Colin Firth Into Frontrunner


Best Film: “Up”

Best Director: Pete Docter, “Up”

Best Actor: Colin Firth, “A Single Man”

Best Actress: Gabourey Sidibe, “Precious”

Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds

Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”

Best Ensemble: “The Hangover”
Best Breakthrough Performance: Gabourey Sidibe, “Precious”

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precursors chart, frontrunners and tight races…oh my!


I’ve made a chart of all the precursors that have announced winners, various critics, the national board of review, etc.

 

click here to see full size

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